Tapatíovs
Correcaminos Uat
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/12/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40