Tapatíovs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/5/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40