TapatíovsCDS Tampico Madero

Tapatío are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.