TapatíovsCDS Tampico Madero

Tapatío are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.