Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tapatío are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.8 against 57.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20