GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/29/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tapatío are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlante FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TapatíoDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCWLDLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoAtlante FC
50.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
58.3Form63.5
58.8Power63.9
0.86xG1.25
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