TapatíovsAtlante FC

Tapatío are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.