GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/2/2024, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tapatío are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TapatíoDWDWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoAtlante FC
50.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
58.3Form63.5
58.8Power63.9
0.86xG1.25
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