Tanzania U23vs
Kenya U23
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF U23 Cup of Nations · 10/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tanzania U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tanzania U23 3-1 Kenya U23
Original prediction
Tanzania U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 36.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.5% | 33.6% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Tanzania U23
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Tanzania U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00