Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tanta SC 0-0 Masar, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tanta SC 0-1 Masar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.8% | 30.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.57 | 35.3% | 32.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.9% | 37.4% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Tanta SC 0–0 Masar
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tanta SCDWDWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MasarWWWLD
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tanta SCMasar
33.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power93.8
0.87xG1.03