Tanjong Pagarvs
Hougang United
COMPLETEDSingapore · Premier League · 10/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tanjong Pagar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tanjong Pagar 2-1 Hougang United
Original prediction
Tanjong Pagar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.2% | 39.5% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 23.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.3% | 36.8% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Tanjong Pagar
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Tanjong Pagar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80