Tamworthvs
Scunthorpe
LIVEEngland · National League · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tamworth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.2% | 43.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.8% | 20.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.1% | 36.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Tamworth
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Tamworth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TamworthLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ScunthorpeLWDLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TamworthScunthorpe
55.6Attack45.5
22.2Defence42.4
38.9Form30.3
41.5Power40.4
2.08xG1.93