GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tamworth are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Scunthorpe are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tamworth hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the National League - North, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TamworthWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ScunthorpeWDDWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TamworthScunthorpe
53.6Attack60.9
79.0Defence72.5
69.6Form63.8
67.8Power64.6
0.96xG0.86
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