GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 10/15/2026, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tampines Rovers 0-1 Machida Zelvia

Original prediction

Machida Zelvia

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.6410.5%25.9%15.4 pts
Draw4.7719.0%25.2%6.2 pts
Away1.2970.5%48.9%-21.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-21.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–18%

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampines RoversWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Machida ZelviaWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tampines RoversMachida Zelvia
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.28xG1.71
View match centre →