Tampere Unitedvs
JJK
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 9/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampere United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tampere United 4-0 JJK
Original prediction
Tampere United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.5% | 73.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.63 | 16.1% | 13.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.4% | 13.1% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Tampere United
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
Tampere United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80