Tampa Bay Sun Wvs
Fort Lauderdale United W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Sun W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tampa Bay Sun W 2-1 Fort Lauderdale United W
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Sun W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.3% | 46.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 20.5% | 26.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Sun W
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Tampa Bay Sun W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20