GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Tampa Bay RowdiesSarasota Paradise
55.6Attack44.4
44.4Defence27.8
33.3Form38.9
45.5Power38.5
2.32xG1.44
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