GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

17.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesPittsburgh Riverhounds
63.2Attack35.1
66.7Defence64.9
71.9Form47.4
68.3Power51.2
1.50xG0.61
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