GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naples are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

10.1%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWLDDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NaplesDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesNaples
55.6Attack16.7
44.4Defence33.3
33.3Form16.7
45.5Power26.2
2.09xG1.39
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