GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Indy ElevenLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
63.2Attack39.2
66.7Defence58.8
71.9Form43.1
68.3Power49.1
1.78xG0.67
View match centre →