Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Hartford Athletic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80