GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hartford AthleticWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesHartford Athletic
63.2Attack24.1
66.7Defence68.5
71.9Form38.9
68.3Power45.8
1.37xG0.44
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