Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-0 Detroit City, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 Detroit City
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.7% | 45.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.9% | 30.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.4% | 23.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–0 Detroit City
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20