GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tampa Bay RowdiesLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CF MontrealWWLLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesCF Montreal
55.6Attack66.7
44.4Defence53.3
33.3Form73.3
45.5Power68.4
1.65xG1.96
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