Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Brooklyn
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Brooklyn, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Brooklyn
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 70.1% | 77.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.15 | 17.7% | 15.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 7.51 | 12.2% | 7.8% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Brooklyn
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
77.2%
Model confidence
77.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00