Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tammeka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tammeka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vaprus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tammeka hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Tammeka holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tammeka
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Tammeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00