Tammekavs
Trans Narva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tammeka · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tammeka 5-1 Trans Narva
Original prediction
Tammeka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.6% | 63.1% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 20.4% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.3% | 16.5% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Tammeka
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Tammeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TammekaLLWWL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TammekaTrans Narva
43.8Attack26.0
46.9Defence27.1
49.0Form20.8
47.9Power27.5
2.19xG0.74