The model projects 3.58 xG for Tammeka and 0.30 xG for Trans Narva. Trans Narva's projected xG of 0.30 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 3-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. The xG distribution suggests Tammeka will score, but Trans Narva's attacking output falls below the threshold the model requires to project both teams scoring.Tammeka's defensive record — 5 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Trans Narva's limited attacking output (3 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

The model projects a combined xG of 3.88 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-0 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.