Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tammeka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Paide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paide
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40