Tammekavs
Nõmme United
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tammeka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tammeka 4-0 Nõmme United
Original prediction
Tammeka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.6% | 49.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.3% | 22.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.4% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Tammeka
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Tammeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TammekaWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme UnitedLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TammekaNõmme United
42.5Attack54.0
46.0Defence21.8
50.6Form32.2
48.1Power37.0
2.23xG1.55