Tammekavs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tammeka 1-3 Kalju Nomme
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 25.6% | 19.8% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 22.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.3% | 57.5% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80