GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 8/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tammeka 3-1 Flora Tallinn

Original prediction

Flora Tallinn

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1721.6%18.5%-3.0 pts
Draw3.9422.9%21.3%-1.6 pts
Away1.6255.6%60.2%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.0–211%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

60.2%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TammekaWWWLW

GF 23 · GA 5 · avg 4.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Flora TallinnWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TammekaFlora Tallinn
38.1Attack66.7
50.8Defence62.1
50.8Form63.6
48.9Power62.8
0.90xG1.88
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