GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Tammeka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Meistriliiga, while Flora Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

12.0%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TammekaWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Flora TallinnLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TammekaFlora Tallinn
38.3Attack66.7
48.3Defence65.0
48.3Form65.0
47.3Power63.9
0.83xG1.99
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