Tamaraceitevs
Recreativo Huelva
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recreativo Huelva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tamaraceite 1-3 Recreativo Huelva
Original prediction
Recreativo Huelva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 26.6% | 31.6% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.2% | 29.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.1% | 38.5% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Recreativo Huelva
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00