Tamaraceitevs
Real Betis II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tamaraceite 0-1 Real Betis II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tamaraceite 3-2 Real Betis II
Original prediction
Real Betis II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.51 | 16.3% | 16.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.4% | 23.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 61.3% | 60.6% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Tamaraceite 0–1 Real Betis II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis II
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Real Betis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20