GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tamaraceite · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tamaraceite 0-0 Antoniano, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Tamaraceite 1-0 Antoniano

Original prediction

Tamaraceite

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4237.1%37.5%0.4 pts
Draw3.1328.8%30.3%1.6 pts
Away2.6434.1%32.1%-1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Projected Score

Tamaraceite 0–0 Antoniano

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Tamaraceite

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Tamaraceite has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TamaraceiteLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AntonianoLDDLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TamaraceiteAntoniano
66.7Attack31.4
0.0Defence60.8
0.0Form45.1
23.7Power47.9
1.08xG0.88
View match centre →