GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/4/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Kalju Nomme are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Meistriliiga, while Kalju Nomme holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalju Nomme

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevLDDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.75/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
Kalju NommeDWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tallinna KalevKalju Nomme
45.4Attack60.6
62.0Defence74.2
49.1Form62.1
53.0Power64.7
0.77xG1.31
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