GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Meistriliiga, while Flora Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevWDLDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Flora TallinnWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tallinna KalevFlora Tallinn
45.4Attack66.7
62.0Defence65.0
49.1Form65.0
53.0Power63.9
0.99xG1.44
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