GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Flora II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora II

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Flora IIWWWLL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna KalevFlora II
65.2Attack81.8
36.4Defence40.9
43.9Form56.1
48.7Power57.5
2.51xG3.05
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