GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

68.8%

Model confidence

8.3%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnDLLWW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
65.2Attack43.9
36.4Defence24.2
43.9Form36.4
48.7Power37.0
3.40xG1.55
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