GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Tallinna Kalev are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Elva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna KalevDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ElvaWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna KalevElva
65.2Attack62.1
36.4Defence45.5
43.9Form51.5
48.7Power54.1
2.34xG2.29
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