Tallinna Kalev IIvs
Tulevik
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (6%), 2-4 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev II 2-1 Tulevik
Original prediction
Tulevik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.6% | 31.1% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 17.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.2% | 51.5% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–46%
- 2.2–46%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Tulevik
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60