GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 6/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Lowconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

6.6%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IILDLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tartu KalevWWDLL

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tallinna Kalev IITartu Kalev
68.2Attack92.4
13.6Defence31.8
25.8Form51.5
36.1Power55.4
3.02xG4.50
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