GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 4/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Lowconfidence

Tallinna Kalev II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

6.8%

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tallinna Kalev IIWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21LDWWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tallinna Kalev IIParnu JK Vaprus U21
68.2Attack92.4
13.6Defence22.7
25.8Form50.0
36.1Power53.4
3.45xG4.50
View match centre →