Tallinna Kalev IIvs
Narva U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev II 1-2 Narva U21
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 26.4% | 15.7% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.6% | 13.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 53.0% | 70.6% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
70.6%
Model confidence
70.6%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60