Tallinna Kalev IIvs
JK Tabasalu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tallinna Kalev II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tallinna Kalev II 4-1 JK Tabasalu
Original prediction
Tallinna Kalev II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.2% | 59.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.8% | 16.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.0% | 24.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Tallinna Kalev II
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Tallinna Kalev II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00