Talent Warszawa U19vs
Raków Częstochowa U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Talent Warszawa U19 3-1 Raków Częstochowa U19
Original prediction
Raków Częstochowa U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 47.8% | 47.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa U19
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Raków Częstochowa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20