Takeleyvs
Chertsey Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Takeley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Takeley 0-4 Chertsey Town
Original prediction
Takeley
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 21.7% | 38.8% | 17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.3% | 25.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.0% | 36.0% | -20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Takeley
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Takeley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TakeleyWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chertsey TownWLDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TakeleyChertsey Town
66.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power80.3
2.02xG1.36