GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/30/2024, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tainan City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tainan City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Young Elephant are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tainan City hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the AFC Challenge League, while Tainan City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tainan City

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Tainan City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tainan CityLWWWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Young ElephantLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.75/3.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Tainan CityYoung Elephant
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence16.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power21.5
1.97xG1.20
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