Tainan Cityvs
Yangon United
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yangon United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tainan City 1-1 Yangon United
Original prediction
Yangon United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.6% | 34.2% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 26.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.4% | 38.9% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Yangon United
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Yangon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20