Tainan Cityvs
Pusamania Borneo
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pusamania Borneo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tainan City 1-3 Pusamania Borneo
Original prediction
Pusamania Borneo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.95 | 8.3% | 26.9% | 18.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.65 | 16.1% | 24.5% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 75.5% | 48.5% | -27.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pusamania Borneo
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Pusamania Borneo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00